SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 60.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Shandong Taishan win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
60.34% ( 0.04) | 21.62% ( -0) | 18.04% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.34% ( -0.04) | 44.66% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( -0.04) | 67.02% ( 0.04) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.64% ( -0) | 14.36% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.77% ( -0) | 42.23% ( 0) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.59% ( -0.06) | 38.41% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.84% ( -0.06) | 75.17% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.74% Total : 60.33% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.28% 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 18.04% |
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