SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
35.19% ( -1.99) | 25.15% ( -0.02) | 39.66% ( 2) |
| Both teams to score 57.05% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.51% ( -0.1) | 46.49% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.23% ( -0.09) | 68.77% ( 0.09) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( -1.16) | 25.66% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.43% ( -1.6) | 60.57% ( 1.6) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( 1) | 23.25% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( 1.44) | 57.16% ( -1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.66% |
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