SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Chengdu Qianbao win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
57.88% ( 0.24) | 23.01% ( -0.11) | 19.1% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( 0.25) | 48.98% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( 0.23) | 71.07% ( -0.23) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( 0.17) | 16.65% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.5% ( 0.31) | 46.5% ( -0.32) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( -0) | 39.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% ( -0) | 76.42% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 57.87% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.1% |
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