SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
40.25% ( 0.01) | 23.42% ( -0) | 36.32% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.57% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.9% ( 0.02) | 38.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.63% ( 0.02) | 60.37% ( -0.02) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.66% ( 0.01) | 19.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.89% ( 0.02) | 51.1% ( -0.02) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 0) | 21.19% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( 0.01) | 54.08% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.35% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.8% Total : 36.32% |
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