SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 12.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
12.36% ( -0.1) | 18.67% ( -0.08) | 68.96% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.56% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( 0.13) | 43.06% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( 0.13) | 65.46% ( -0.13) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.8% ( -0.08) | 45.19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.91% ( -0.06) | 81.08% ( 0.06) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.61% ( 0.08) | 11.39% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.87% ( 0.18) | 36.12% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.36% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.67% | 0-2 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.8% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.99% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 4.78% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 3.62% Total : 68.95% |
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