SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
64.88% ( 0.02) | 19.12% ( -0.01) | 16% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.09% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.17% ( 0.03) | 36.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41% ( 0.03) | 59% ( -0.04) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.32% ( 0.01) | 10.68% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.43% ( 0.03) | 34.57% ( -0.04) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.92% ( -0) | 36.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.14% ( 0) | 72.86% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.83% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 64.88% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.12% | 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 16% |
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