SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shandong Taishan | 10 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
37.4% ( -0.59) | 28.35% ( 0.07) | 34.25% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.41% ( -0.18) | 59.58% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.08% ( -0.14) | 79.92% ( 0.14) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( -0.45) | 30.66% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% ( -0.54) | 66.91% ( 0.54) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.32% ( 0.26) | 32.68% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.77% ( 0.29) | 69.23% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.4% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.33% | 0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.25% |
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