SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
46.68% ( -0.2) | 24.65% ( -0.02) | 28.67% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.34% ( 0.22) | 46.66% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.07% ( 0.2) | 68.93% ( -0.2) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( 0) | 20.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.7% ( 0) | 52.29% |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% ( 0.27) | 29.94% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.95% ( 0.33) | 66.05% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.67% |
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