Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 70.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 10.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.43%) and 0-3 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
