SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 9 | -12 | 3 |
| 13 | Hebei | 9 | -16 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 9 | -12 | 3 |
| 13 | Hebei | 9 | -16 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Hebei win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guangzhou in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hebei | Draw | Guangzhou |
28.75% ( -0.25) | 26.4% ( -0.04) | 44.85% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.15% ( 0.05) | 53.86% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% ( 0.04) | 75.32% ( -0.03) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( -0.17) | 33.62% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( -0.18) | 70.27% ( 0.19) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( 0.17) | 23.92% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.87% ( 0.23) | 58.13% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hebei | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.75% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.84% |
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