SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Shanghai Port |
27.25% ( 0.31) | 25.59% ( 0.07) | 47.16% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 51.97% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.54% ( -0.1) | 51.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% ( -0.08) | 73.27% ( 0.08) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( 0.2) | 33.52% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( 0.21) | 70.16% ( -0.22) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( -0.21) | 21.82% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.96% ( -0.32) | 55.04% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.25% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 47.15% |
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