SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Shanghai Port |
20.25% ( -0.02) | 23.19% ( -0) | 56.56% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.82% ( -0.02) | 48.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% ( -0.02) | 70.34% ( 0.02) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% ( -0.04) | 38.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.18% ( -0.04) | 74.82% ( 0.03) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% ( -0) | 16.83% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.19% ( 0) | 46.81% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.99% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 20.25% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.18% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.16% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.83% 0-3 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.84% 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.69% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.6% 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.02% Total : 56.55% |
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