SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Dalian Pro |
66.87% ( 0.21) | 19.87% ( -0.11) | 13.26% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( 0.21) | 46.18% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.52% ( 0.2) | 68.47% ( -0.2) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( 0.12) | 12.88% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.72% ( 0.26) | 39.27% ( -0.26) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.29% ( -0.04) | 45.71% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.5% ( -0.03) | 81.49% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Dalian Pro |
| 2-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 66.86% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.87% | 0-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 13.26% |
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