SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 15.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
63.02% ( 0.03) | 21.28% ( -0.01) | 15.69% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.93% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( -0.01) | 47.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.53% ( -0) | 69.47% ( 0.01) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( 0.01) | 14.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.76% ( 0.02) | 42.24% ( -0.02) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.14% ( -0.03) | 42.86% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.82% ( -0.03) | 79.18% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 63.02% | 1-1 @ 10.12% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.28% | 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 15.69% |
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