SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Guangzhou City |
51% ( 0.59) | 27.04% ( -0.27) | 21.96% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 43.01% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.38% ( 0.62) | 60.62% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.29% ( 0.46) | 80.71% ( -0.47) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.54) | 23.99% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( 0.77) | 58.24% ( -0.77) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.58% ( 0.03) | 43.42% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.36% ( 0.03) | 79.64% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Guangzhou City |
| 1-0 @ 14.86% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 50.99% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.96% |
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