SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
51.66% ( 0.38) | 25.79% ( -0.04) | 22.54% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.17% ( -0.14) | 55.83% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.05% ( -0.11) | 76.95% ( 0.11) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( 0.11) | 21.66% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.2% ( 0.16) | 54.8% ( -0.16) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.92% ( -0.41) | 40.08% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.28% ( -0.38) | 76.73% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.66% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.33% Total : 22.54% |
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