SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Henan had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Henan win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan | Draw | Shanghai Port |
14.73% ( 0.05) | 20.42% ( -0.01) | 64.85% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.59% ( 0.14) | 45.41% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.26% ( 0.13) | 67.74% ( -0.13) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.94% ( 0.16) | 43.06% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.66% ( 0.13) | 79.34% ( -0.13) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.77% ( 0.03) | 13.23% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60% ( 0.06) | 40% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 14.73% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.42% | 0-2 @ 11.65% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.86% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.61% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 64.84% |
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