SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Henan |
32.27% ( -0.22) | 24.7% ( 0.04) | 43.03% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% ( -0.27) | 45.17% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.49% ( -0.26) | 67.51% ( 0.26) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( -0.27) | 26.79% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.93% ( -0.36) | 62.07% ( 0.35) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( -0.04) | 21.06% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.14% ( -0.05) | 53.86% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Henan |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.27% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.03% |
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