SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
68.38% ( -1.46) | 18.56% ( 0.78) | 13.06% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.2% ( -1.92) | 40.79% ( 1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.82% ( -1.99) | 63.18% ( 1.99) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.1% ( -0.89) | 10.9% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.94% ( -2.01) | 35.06% ( 2.01) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.36% ( -0.16) | 42.63% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.02% ( -0.14) | 78.98% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.52)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.22)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.06% Total : 68.38% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.98% Total : 18.56% | 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.42% Total : 13.06% |
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