SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Henan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
49.68% ( 0.26) | 22.66% ( -0.08) | 27.66% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 62.17% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.81% ( 0.23) | 38.19% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.54% ( 0.25) | 60.46% ( -0.25) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( 0.18) | 15.64% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.34% ( 0.33) | 44.66% ( -0.33) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( -0) | 26.31% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.56% ( -0.01) | 61.43% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 49.68% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.66% |
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