SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
21.38% ( -0.08) | 24.22% ( 0) | 54.39% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( -0.1) | 51.05% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( -0.09) | 72.9% ( 0.08) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.47% ( -0.14) | 38.52% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.72% ( -0.13) | 75.27% ( 0.13) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( -0.02) | 18.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.98% ( -0.02) | 50.01% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
| 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.38% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 10.12% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.38% |
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