SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
42.41% ( -0.1) | 26.58% ( 0.18) | 31.02% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.13% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.42% ( -0.74) | 53.59% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% ( -0.63) | 75.09% ( 0.63) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( -0.38) | 25.01% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.33% ( -0.53) | 59.67% ( 0.54) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( -0.43) | 31.82% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( -0.5) | 68.26% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.02% |
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