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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 19
Jul 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Shanghai Stadium

Sh. Shenhua
3 - 2
Changchun

Carlos Teixeira (39'), Malele (67' pen.), Zhu (78')
Manafa (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zulj (11'), Jinxian (75')
Tudi (18'), Xie (19'), He (46')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 6-0 Shandong
Saturday, July 6 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 2-2 Changchun
Saturday, July 6 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 8.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawChangchun Yatai
76.61% (0.29100000000001 0.29) 14.55% (-0.159 -0.16) 8.83% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.52% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.25% (0.36 0.36)33.75% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.41% (0.406 0.41)55.58% (-0.404 -0.4)
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.75% (0.14 0.14)7.25% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.73% (0.36499999999999 0.36)26.26% (-0.362 -0.36)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.46% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)45.53% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)81.35% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Shanghai Shenhua 76.61%
    Changchun Yatai 8.83%
    Draw 14.55%
Shanghai ShenhuaDrawChangchun Yatai
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 9.94% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.82% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.53% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 5.13% (0.05 0.05)
5-0 @ 3.43% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.7% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.018 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.5% (0.038 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.18% (0.029 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 76.61%
1-1 @ 6.81% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 14.55%
1-2 @ 2.68% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 8.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 6-0 Shandong
Saturday, July 6 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Qingdao Youth Island 0-1 Sh. Shenhua
Sunday, June 30 at 11am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 3-0 Meizhou Hakka
Wednesday, June 26 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 1-1 Chengdu
Sunday, June 16 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sichuan 0-1 Sh. Shenhua
Sunday, May 26 at 11am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 1-2 Sh. Shenhua
Tuesday, May 21 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 2-2 Changchun
Saturday, July 6 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 5-0 Qingdao Hainiu
Sunday, June 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 2-2 Shandong
Wednesday, June 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Zhejiang 3-1 Changchun
Saturday, June 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 0-0 Henan
Sunday, May 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Qingdao Youth Island 2-2 Changchun
Wednesday, May 22 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League


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