Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.
Result | ||
Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Guangzhou |
64.22% ( 0.17) | 20.12% ( -0.08) | 15.66% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.68% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.79% ( 0.21) | 42.21% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.38% ( 0.21) | 64.61% ( -0.21) |
Meizhou Hakka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.56% ( 0.11) | 12.44% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.64% ( 0.23) | 38.36% ( -0.23) |
Guangzhou Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.16% ( 0.02) | 39.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.49% ( 0.02) | 76.5% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Guangzhou |
2-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 64.21% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.12% | 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 15.66% |
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