Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou City win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Guangzhou | Draw | Guangzhou City |
29.43% ( -0.2) | 26.63% ( -0.04) | 43.94% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 50.19% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.57% ( 0.06) | 54.43% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.2% ( 0.05) | 75.8% ( -0.05) |
Guangzhou Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.59% ( -0.12) | 33.41% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% ( -0.13) | 70.04% ( 0.13) |
Guangzhou City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.38% ( 0.14) | 24.61% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.88% ( 0.19) | 59.12% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Guangzhou | Draw | Guangzhou City |
1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.43% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.93% |
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