SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Guangzhou |
56.54% ( 0.27) | 23.55% ( -0.11) | 19.91% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.91% ( 0.25) | 50.08% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% ( 0.22) | 72.05% ( -0.22) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( 0.19) | 17.52% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.96% ( 0.32) | 48.04% ( -0.32) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.5% ( -0.02) | 39.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.81% ( -0.01) | 76.19% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 56.53% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 19.91% |
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