SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
51.12% ( 0.02) | 22.44% ( -0) | 26.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.82% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% ( 0.01) | 38.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.56% ( 0.01) | 60.43% ( -0.02) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.86% ( 0.01) | 15.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.28% ( 0.02) | 43.71% ( -0.02) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( -0) | 27.15% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.45% ( -0) | 62.55% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 4.01% Total : 51.12% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.44% |
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