SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 73.46%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 11.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-3 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 2-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
11.05% ( 2.43) | 15.49% ( 2.83) | 73.46% ( -5.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( -2.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.87% ( -6.95) | 31.13% ( 6.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.46% ( -8.7) | 52.54% ( 8.7) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% ( -0.76) | 39.38% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.92% ( -0.72) | 76.08% ( 0.72) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.72% ( -2.41) | 7.28% ( 2.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.65% ( -6.78) | 26.35% ( 6.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.69) 1-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.88)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.2)Other @ 1.53% Total : 11.05% | 1-1 @ 7% ( 1.6) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.39)0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.99)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.49% | 0-2 @ 9.84% ( 1.26) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 1)0-3 @ 8.59% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 8.01% ( -0.22)0-1 @ 7.51% ( 1.83)0-4 @ 5.63% ( -0.91)1-4 @ 5.25% ( -0.98)2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.18)0-5 @ 2.95% ( -1)1-5 @ 2.75% ( -1.01)2-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.52)0-6 @ 1.29% ( -0.7)2-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.51)1-6 @ 1.2% ( -0.7)Other @ 3.82% Total : 73.46% |
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