Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Shenzhen | 9 | -1 | 13 |
7 | Wuhan | 8 | -2 | 12 |
8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 8 | 1 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 63.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Wuhan win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
Result | ||
Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Wuhan |
63.64% ( -1.56) | 21.72% ( 0.54) | 14.63% ( 1.02) |
Both teams to score 45.17% ( 0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.02% ( -0.17) | 50.98% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.15% ( -0.15) | 72.85% ( 0.15) |
Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.6% ( -0.56) | 15.4% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.79% ( -1.05) | 44.21% ( 1.05) |
Wuhan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.4% ( 1.42) | 46.6% ( -1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.81% ( 1.06) | 82.18% ( -1.07) |
Score Analysis |
Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Wuhan |
1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 63.63% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.72% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.22% Total : 14.63% |
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