SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 7 | 8 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
44.07% ( -0.37) | 27.31% ( 0.02) | 28.62% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 47.78% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.68% ( 0.07) | 57.31% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.85% ( 0.05) | 78.14% ( -0.05) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% ( -0.16) | 25.85% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.18% ( -0.22) | 60.82% ( 0.22) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.44% ( 0.31) | 35.56% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.67% ( 0.32) | 72.33% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 28.62% |
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