Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Meizhou Hakka in this match.
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