SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Shenzhen | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Dalian Pro | 7 | 0 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Meizhou Hakka in this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shenzhen |
43.67% ( -1.09) | 25.53% ( 0.2) | 30.8% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.61% ( -0.45) | 49.39% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( -0.4) | 71.43% ( 0.4) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( -0.7) | 22.55% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% ( -1.05) | 56.13% ( 1.04) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( 0.39) | 29.84% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( 0.48) | 65.93% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.67% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.28% Total : 30.8% |
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