SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Guangzhou City | 10 | -21 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 81.31%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 6.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.95%) and 0-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.02%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
6.04% ( -0.02) | 12.65% ( -0.11) | 81.31% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.73% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.34% ( 0.46) | 35.66% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.28% ( 0.51) | 57.73% ( -0.51) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.8% ( 0.27) | 54.2% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.6% ( 0.16) | 87.4% ( -0.16) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.29% ( 0.12) | 6.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.16% ( 0.33) | 24.84% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 1.84% Other @ 1.97% Total : 6.04% | 1-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 12.65% | 0-2 @ 13.27% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 11.95% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.16)1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 8.07% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.32% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 4.94% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 4.36% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 2.67% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)0-6 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)1-6 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.84% Total : 81.3% |
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