Meizhou Hakka appears to have settled into the big leagues and will head into this matchup with renewed confidence. While they face a spirited Beijing Guoan side who are unbeaten in seven consecutive outings, we predict they will do just enough to leave with a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.43) 
-0.03) 
