SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
31.6% ( -0.36) | 26.92% ( 0.2) | 41.47% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.23% ( -0.87) | 54.77% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.92% ( -0.72) | 76.08% ( 0.72) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.99% ( -0.69) | 32.01% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( -0.79) | 68.48% ( 0.8) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( -0.31) | 26.03% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% ( -0.41) | 61.06% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.6% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.47% |
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