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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12
May 17, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Development Area Stadium
TJ

Cangzhou
2 - 4
Tianjin Jinmen

Kaimu (53'), Solomon-Otabor (63')
Zhao (11'), Sun (71'), Sun (75'), Solomon-Otabor (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Compagno (15', 49', 74'), Ademi (80')
Pengfei (71'), Xie (76')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cangzhou 0-1 Zhejiang
Sunday, May 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 0-0 Sh. Shenhua
Saturday, May 11 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.

Result
Cangzhou Mighty LionsDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
28.65% (-0.123 -0.12) 25.33% (0.105 0.11) 46.02% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.78% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-0.509 -0.51)49.56% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (-0.459 -0.46)71.59% (0.458 0.46)
Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (-0.354 -0.35)31.46% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (-0.414 -0.41)67.84% (0.413 0.41)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (-0.206 -0.21)21.54% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.39% (-0.313 -0.31)54.61% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Cangzhou Mighty Lions 28.65%
    Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 46.02%
    Draw 25.33%
Cangzhou Mighty LionsDrawTianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.086 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.65%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.78% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 10.4% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.99% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 46.02%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cangzhou 0-1 Zhejiang
Sunday, May 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 1-1 Cangzhou
Sunday, May 5 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 4-0 Cangzhou
Wednesday, May 1 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 2-3 Henan
Friday, April 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shandong 4-1 Cangzhou
Saturday, April 20 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Cangzhou 3-2 Qingdao Youth Island
Sunday, April 14 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 0-0 Sh. Shenhua
Saturday, May 11 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 1-2 Tianjin Jinmen
Saturday, May 4 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Tuesday, April 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Wuhan TT 2-1 Tianjin Jinmen
Friday, April 26 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Zhejiang 3-2 Tianjin Jinmen
Friday, April 19 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 0-0 Meizhou Hakka
Sunday, April 14 at 12pm in Chinese Super League


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