SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
30.07% ( 0.03) | 26.03% ( 0) | 43.9% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% ( -0.01) | 51.75% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( -0) | 73.52% ( 0) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.45% ( 0.02) | 31.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.05% ( 0.02) | 67.95% ( -0.02) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( -0.02) | 23.45% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% ( -0.02) | 57.47% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.07% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.9% |
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