SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 49.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
24.69% ( 0.42) | 26.1% ( 0.23) | 49.21% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 48.3% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.81% ( -0.52) | 55.19% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( -0.43) | 76.43% ( 0.43) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.29% ( 0.09) | 37.7% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.52% ( 0.09) | 74.48% ( -0.09) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.5) | 22.47% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( -0.76) | 56.01% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.65% Total : 24.69% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.2% |
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