SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
34.5% ( 0.3) | 24.95% ( 0.07) | 40.55% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( -0.28) | 45.69% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( -0.27) | 68.01% ( 0.27) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% ( 0.05) | 25.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.4% ( 0.06) | 60.6% ( -0.06) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( -0.3) | 22.45% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.01% ( -0.46) | 55.99% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.5% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.55% |
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