SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Jonoon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
46.76% ( -0.47) | 24.12% ( 0.13) | 29.11% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.96% ( -0.37) | 44.04% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.58% ( -0.36) | 66.42% ( 0.36) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( -0.34) | 18.98% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.48% ( -0.56) | 50.52% ( 0.56) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( 0.05) | 28.29% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( 0.06) | 64.02% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.11% |
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