SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
41.32% ( 0.05) | 27.65% ( -0.05) | 31.03% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.92% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.32% ( 0.17) | 57.68% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.56% ( 0.13) | 78.43% ( -0.13) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( 0.11) | 27.46% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( 0.14) | 62.96% ( -0.14) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.07% ( 0.08) | 33.93% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.39% ( 0.09) | 70.61% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.03% |
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