SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 51.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
51.12% ( -0.17) | 24.72% ( 0.18) | 24.15% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.83% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( -0.72) | 50.28% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( -0.65) | 72.23% ( 0.64) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( -0.35) | 19.67% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.35% ( -0.58) | 51.65% ( 0.57) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.52% ( -0.4) | 35.48% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.76% ( -0.41) | 72.24% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.88% Total : 51.11% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.15% |
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