SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
45.5% ( -0.84) | 25.21% ( 0.43) | 29.28% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.25% ( -1.67) | 48.74% ( 1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.15% ( -1.54) | 70.85% ( 1.53) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( -1.05) | 21.43% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.55% ( -1.65) | 54.44% ( 1.65) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( -0.57) | 30.57% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.19% ( -0.68) | 66.8% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.28% |
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