SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
34.21% ( 0.46) | 27.95% ( 0.11) | 37.83% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.83% ( -0.37) | 58.17% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.18% ( -0.29) | 78.82% ( 0.29) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( 0.12) | 31.98% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( 0.14) | 68.44% ( -0.14) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( -0.52) | 29.69% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( -0.64) | 65.75% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.2% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 11.53% 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.84% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
