SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
22.26% ( 0.54) | 25.45% ( 0.3) | 52.29% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 47.58% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.18% ( -0.59) | 54.82% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.87% ( -0.49) | 76.12% ( 0.49) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.22% ( 0.21) | 39.78% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.55% ( 0.19) | 76.45% ( -0.19) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( -0.58) | 20.99% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.24% ( -0.91) | 53.76% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.36% Total : 22.26% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 10.17% ( -0.13)1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.28% |
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