SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 78.06%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.65%) and 0-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
7.86% ( -0.53) | 14.08% ( -0.32) | 78.06% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 47.49% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.87% ( -0.41) | 35.13% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.86% ( -0.46) | 57.14% ( 0.46) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.21% ( -1.54) | 48.8% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.19% ( -1.13) | 83.81% ( 1.13) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.74% ( 0.09) | 7.26% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.7% ( 0.21) | 26.3% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.01% Total : 7.86% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.74% Total : 14.08% | 0-2 @ 12.18% ( 0.36) 0-3 @ 10.65% ( 0.36)0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.23)1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 7.64% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 6.99% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 3.67% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.15)1-5 @ 2.63% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.09)0-6 @ 1.6% ( 0.07)1-6 @ 1.15% ( 0)2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.02% Total : 78.06% |
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