SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 71.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.82%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
71.56% ( 0.45) | 17.83% ( -0.22) | 10.61% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 45.56% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( 0.36) | 43.93% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( 0.35) | 66.31% ( -0.35) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.06% ( 0.22) | 10.94% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.85% ( 0.48) | 35.15% ( -0.48) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.16% ( -0.2) | 48.84% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.16% ( -0.14) | 83.84% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 2-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 71.55% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.66% Total : 17.83% | 0-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.37% Total : 10.61% |
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