SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Henan Songshan Longmen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
39.76% ( 0.07) | 27.73% ( 0.1) | 32.5% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.4% ( -0.4) | 57.59% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.63% ( -0.32) | 78.37% ( 0.31) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( -0.15) | 28.29% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( -0.19) | 64.01% ( 0.19) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( -0.33) | 32.84% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.59% ( -0.37) | 69.41% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 39.76% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.5% |
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