SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
31.65% ( -0.09) | 26.12% ( -0.01) | 42.23% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.46% ( 0.02) | 51.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.66% ( 0.01) | 73.33% ( -0.02) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( -0.05) | 30.33% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.48% ( -0.06) | 66.52% ( 0.06) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% ( 0.06) | 24.19% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.48% ( 0.08) | 58.52% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 31.65% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 42.22% |
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