SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.43%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Guangzhou City |
65.12% ( 0.17) | 23.04% ( -0.06) | 11.84% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 35.12% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.32% ( 0) | 60.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.25% ( 0) | 80.75% ( -0) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% ( 0.06) | 18.31% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.6% ( 0.11) | 49.4% ( -0.11) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43% ( -0.18) | 57% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.96% ( -0.1) | 89.04% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Guangzhou City |
| 1-0 @ 17.72% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 15.04% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 65.12% | 0-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 11.84% |
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